NFL Super Bowl odds 2023: Model releases predictions, top picks to win, teams to avoid

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After failing to repeat as Tremendous Bowl champions in February, the Kansas Metropolis Chiefs are the favorites to hoist the Lombardi Trophy in February. The Chiefs had defeated the San Francisco 49ers in Tremendous Bowl 54 to win the title for the primary time in 48 years. After falling to Tom Brady and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in Tremendous Bowl LV, Kansas Metropolis is again because the +525 favourite within the newest 2023 Tremendous Bowl odds from William Hill Sportsbook.

Among the many different 2023 Tremendous Bowl favorites are the Buccaneers at +650 and the Buffalo Payments at +1300. Former champions with low Tremendous Bowl 56 odds embrace the Los Angeles Rams, San Francisco 49ers, and Baltimore Ravens, all at +1400. One workforce on the lookout for its first Tremendous Bowl look is Cleveland, because the Browns are +1600. Earlier than making any 2023 Tremendous Bowl picks primarily based on the most recent NFL odds, it’s essential to take a look at the NFL predictions from the SportsLine Projection Mannequin.

The mannequin, which simulates each NFL sport 10,000 occasions, is up nearly $7,900 for $100 gamers on top-rated NFL picks since its inception six years in the past. It went a scorching 24-14 on top-rated NFL picks final season, returning greater than $800. The mannequin additionally enters the 2023 season on an unbelievable 120-78 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates again to the 2017 season. Anybody who has adopted it’s approach up.

Now, it has set its sights on discovering worth within the 2023 Tremendous Bowl odds. You may see its prime NFL picks and predictions right here.

Prime 2023 Tremendous Bowl predictions

After simulating the season 10,000 occasions, the mannequin finds worth within the Payments, regardless that they’re lengthy photographs at +1300 to win the Tremendous Bowl. The Payments are powered by quarterback Josh Allen, who was fifth within the league in passing with 4,544 yards. He accomplished 69.2 p.c of his passes and threw 37 touchdowns whereas being intercepted 10 occasions. His favourite goal was the league’s prime receiver, Stefon Diggs, who caught 127 passes for 1,535 yards and eight touchdowns.

This offseason, the Payments have been busy bettering their roster. The Payments resigned extensive receiver Emmanuel Sanders to maintain the stress on opposing defenses. Final season, he completed with 61 receptions for 726 yards and 5 touchdowns. Different key additions and re-signings included tight finish Jacob Hollister, linebacker Matt Milano, extensive receiver Isaiah McKenzie, deal with Daryl Williams, guard Jon Feliciano and linebacker Tyrell Adams.

The Payments additionally added a pair of edge rushers by way of the draft, Gregory Rousseau and Carlos Basham Jr., who may blossom into strong contributors on protection. With the return of a potent offense, the Payments win Tremendous Bowl LVI 9.9 p.c of the time, in line with SportsLine’s mannequin. That’s greater than the implied profitable share of seven.1 primarily based on the workforce’s +1300 Tremendous Bowl odds 2023 at William Hill Sportsbook, making Buffalo a robust worth.

One other curveball: The mannequin is fading the Buccaneers, regardless that they’re one of many prime favorites at +650 and simply hoisted the Lombardi Trophy. Tampa Bay is coming off a dream season. After ending second within the NFC South, the Buccaneers ran the desk within the playoffs and upset the Chiefs within the Tremendous Bowl for the franchise’s second title. Veteran working again Giovani Bernard joins a workforce that didn’t lose any key gamers within the offseason.

Nevertheless, Tampa Bay is profitable the Tremendous Bowl in simply 12.3 p.c of SportsLine’s simulations. On the workforce’s present value of +650, the Buccaneers have an implied profitable share of 13.3, which means they don’t supply worth at their value. There are much better 2023 Tremendous Bowl bets to make, in line with the mannequin.

Easy methods to make 2023 Tremendous Bowl picks

The mannequin can be excessive on a juicy lengthy shot within the AFC that will pay even higher than the Colts. It’s essential to see the mannequin’s evaluation earlier than making any Tremendous Bowl 56 bets.

So which lengthy shot gives a juicy value to win Tremendous Bowl LVI? And what different groups present worth at their present Tremendous Bowl 2023 odds? Try the most recent Tremendous Bowl LVI odds beneath, then go to SportsLine to see the picks from the mannequin that’s up nearly $7,900.

2023 Tremendous Bowl odds to win

Chiefs +525
Buccaneers +650
Payments +1300
Ravens +1400
Rams +1400
49ers +1400
Packers +1600
Browns +1800
Broncos +2000
Colts +2500
Saints +2500
Seahawks +2500
Dolphins +2800
Cowboys +2800
Titans +3000
Patriots +3000
Steelers +3500
Chargers +3500
Cardinals +4000
Vikings +4000
Falcons +5000
Bears +5000
Washington Soccer Workforce +5000
Panthers +6000
Raiders +7000
Giants +7500
Eagles +7500
Bengals +10000
Jaguars +10000
Jets +10000
Lions +15000
Texans +20000

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