Epidemiologist discusses COVID-19 hospitalization projections

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OKLAHOMA CITY (KFOR) – An epidemiologist is displaying how vaccines and masks can flatten the curve in the case of new COVID-19 instances.

“The pandemic is being pushed by individuals not being vaccinated. We as Oklahomans want to consider how we will be part of collectively to forestall the illness and work as a society,” Dr. Aaron Wendelboe, a professor of epidemiology at OU, mentioned.

He has a graph (proven in video) projecting the variety of COVID-19 hospitalizations. He says when he modifies variables like elevated vaccinations and masking, the variety of hospitalizations goes down.

“That is what we’re so far as hospitalizations from COVID if we keep on the trail we’re on proper now. If we have been to double the vaccinations that we’ve got proper now you’ll be able to see the curve primarily flattens,” he mentioned.

He says that is not the one means the curve can flatten.

“Possibly we won’t double the vaccines, however we have been capable of enhance it considerably, but in addition, for example, unvaccinated individuals have been prepared to masks then like the mix of accelerating vaccine and masking may additionally simply flatten this out,” he mentioned.

His mannequin assumes there are not any extra variants, however proper now, the following peak is anticipated to return in a number of months.

“That is what we’re seeing as the height of hospitalizations right here within the fall,” he mentioned.

Nonetheless, he says the winter may change issues.

“That is most correct in all probability by the autumn, as a result of as we transfer ahead and we get into colder climate and stuff like that my guess is this can really keep sustained moderately than dropping off as shortly because the mannequin is displaying,” he mentioned.

Wendelboe says the options may be quite simple.

“We do not have to expertise the hospitalization, we do not to should shut down society, we do not have to make drastic prevention measures, we will simply make the most of what’s primarily proper in entrance of us, the vaccine and masks,” he mentioned.

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